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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Moritz Seider

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Moritz Seider projects to 2.46 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Seider had 60 in 82 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Seider has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Seider's 2.7.

Moritz Seider has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 58.9%, Forecheck xG /60 0.31, On-ice PDO 1016.

Seider's biggest edges: Fenwick 55.4%, Corsi 53.0%, Hits 128.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Moritz Seider

2.46

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Moritz Seider has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsSeider
Goals (+2)0.790.23
Assists (+1)0.380.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.23
Hits (+0.1)0.070.15
Blocks (+0.5)0.631.12

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Seider

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsSeider
8Team record in 16 meetings8
17Points in those games12

Matthews 7G 10A, 77 SOG · Seider 3G 9A, 36 SOG

0Hits on each other2
4Shots blocked by the other6

Matthews blocked 4 of Seider's shots; Seider blocked 6 of Matthews's.

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

35:55 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
34–36
48.6%
Expected goals
1.1–1.6
41.2%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Moritz Seider
DateScoreMatthewsSeider
2026-01-21TOR 1–2 DET0G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-28TOR 2–3 DET0G 1A 5S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-13TOR 2–3 DET0G 1A 8S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-11TOR 3–6 DET0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-17TOR 4–3 DET1G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-12-14TOR 2–4 DET1G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2024-04-13TOR 4–5 DET1G 0A 10S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-14TOR 2–4 DET0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-17TOR 3–2 DET0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-02TOR 2–5 DET0G 1A 6S0G 1A 2S
2023-01-07TOR 4–1 DET0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-28TOR 4–2 DET1G 1A 5S1G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsSeider

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Moritz Seider

2games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.7 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Moritz Seider in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Moritz Seider projects to 2.46 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Seider had 60 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Moritz Seider?
On 2025-26 numbers, Moritz Seider leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Seider done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 8–8. Matthews had 17 points (7 goals) and Seider had 12 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →