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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Tyler Bertuzzi

Auston MatthewsAuston MatthewsMaple Leafs · CentrevsTyler BertuzziTyler BertuzziBlackhawks · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Bertuzzi has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Bertuzzi's 1.6.

Auston Matthews has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 59.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.103, Blocked shots 81.

Bertuzzi's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, Luck Meter +45, Penalty minutes 42.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Tyler Bertuzzi

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsBertuzzi
Goals (+2)0.790.71
Assists (+1)0.380.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.19
Hits (+0.1)0.070.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Bertuzzi

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsBertuzzi
13Team record in 14 meetings1
20Points in those games7

Matthews 9G 11A, 51 SOG · Bertuzzi 3G 4A, 20 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Matthews's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Matthews's defensive zone 1–0 (2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other2

Matthews blocked 0 of Bertuzzi's shots; Bertuzzi blocked 2 of Matthews's.

3Goals set up by the other6

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

5:04 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
7–2
77.8%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
75.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Tyler Bertuzzi
DateScoreMatthewsBertuzzi
2025-12-16TOR 3–2 CHI1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-23TOR 5–2 CHI0G 1A 4S0G 2A 0S
2024-12-02TOR 4–1 CHI1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-04-06TOR 1–2 BOS0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-28TOR 4–2 DET1G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2022-02-26TOR 10–7 DET1G 3A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-29TOR 7–4 DET0G 2A 3S1G 0A 3S
2019-12-21TOR 4–1 DET2G 1A 4S1G 0A 1S
2019-11-27TOR 6–0 DET0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-12TOR 5–2 DET0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2018-12-23TOR 5–4 DET0G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S
2018-10-11TOR 5–3 DET2G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsBertuzzi

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Tyler Bertuzzi

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Tyler Bertuzzi in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Tyler Bertuzzi?
On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Bertuzzi done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 13–1. Matthews had 20 points (9 goals) and Bertuzzi had 7 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Bertuzzi?
Against each other, Matthews has won 1 and Bertuzzi 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →