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Who to start · 2025-26

Brad Marchand vs Gabriel Vilardi

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.

Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games.

This week Marchand has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Vilardi has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marchand for 1.8 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.

Gabriel Vilardi has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Marchand's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.94, Goals above expected +6.9, 20+ mph bursts 104.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.014, Blocked shots 35, Faceoffs won 42.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brad Marchand

2.26

fantasy points per game

Gabriel Vilardi

1.77

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchandVilardi
Goals (+2)1.040.73
Assists (+1)0.520.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.18
Hits (+0.1)0.070.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchand vs Vilardi

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchandVilardi
1Team record in 5 meetings4
5Points in those games4

Marchand 3G 2A, 8 SOG · Vilardi 2G 2A, 8 SOG

1Hits on each other0

Games against each other

Games between Brad Marchand and Gabriel Vilardi
DateScoreMarchandVilardi
2025-01-30BOS 2–6 WPG1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-10BOS 1–8 WPG0G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2023-12-22BOS 1–5 WPG0G 0A 0S1G 1A 4S
2023-01-05BOS 5–2 LAK1G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-15BOS 2–3 LAK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchandVilardi

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brad Marchand

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.8 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Brad Marchand or Gabriel Vilardi in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Vilardi had 69 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brad Marchand or Gabriel Vilardi?
On 2025-26 numbers, Gabriel Vilardi leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchand and Vilardi done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 1–4. Marchand had 5 points (3 goals) and Vilardi had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →