Who to start · 2025-26
Brandon Hagel vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week Hagel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hagel for 1.8 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.
Brandon Hagel has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hagel's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1032, Penalty minutes 58, Blocked shots 38.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.6, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Offensive-zone time 46.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brandon Hagel
2.15
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.65
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hagel | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.95 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hagel vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hagel 3G 3A, 30 SOG · Ehlers 4G 5A, 26 SOG
Hagel blocked 0 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 1 of Hagel's.
On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)
11:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hagel's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–11
- 38.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 59.5%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hagel | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | TBL 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-02-26 | TBL 4–5 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-14 | TBL 4–1 WPG | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-03 | TBL 4–7 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-02 | TBL 2–4 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-11-22 | TBL 2–3 WPG | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-12 | TBL 2–3 WPG | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-06 | TBL 2–4 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-16 | TBL 7–4 WPG | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-11-05 | CHI 1–5 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brandon Hagel
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brandon Hagel or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hagel and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 2–8. Hagel had 6 points (3 goals) and Ehlers had 9 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →