Who to start · 2025-26
Brent Burns vs Rasmus Dahlin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38.
Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games.
This week Burns has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dahlin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dahlin for 2.5 ESPN points to Burns's 0.9.
Rasmus Dahlin has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Burns's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.90, Goals above expected +4.8, Corsi 55.6%.
Dahlin's biggest edges: Hits 67, Ice-time share 39.9%, Ice time per game 24:11.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brent Burns
1.38
fantasy points per game
Rasmus Dahlin
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Rasmus Dahlin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Burns | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Burns vs Dahlin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Burns 1G 10A, 47 SOG · Dahlin 3G 7A, 45 SOG
Burns blocked 0 of Dahlin's shots; Dahlin blocked 1 of Burns's.
On the ice against each other (Burns's side)
5:29 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Burns's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–7
- 46.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 32.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Burns | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | COL 3–1 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-08 | CAR 0–3 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-27 | CAR 5–2 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-15 | CAR 2–4 BUF | 0G 2A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-25 | CAR 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-02 | CAR 6–2 BUF | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-07 | CAR 3–2 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | CAR 3–4 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-02-01 | CAR 5–1 BUF | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-04 | CAR 5–3 BUF | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 8S |
| 2022-01-06 | SJS 3–2 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2021-11-02 | SJS 5–3 BUF | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brent Burns
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Rasmus Dahlin
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brent Burns or Rasmus Dahlin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38. Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brent Burns or Rasmus Dahlin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Rasmus Dahlin leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Burns and Dahlin done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Burns's team went 9–7. Burns had 11 points (1 goals) and Dahlin had 10 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →