Who to start · 2025-26
Carter Verhaeghe vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50.
Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week Verhaeghe has 1 game left; Samuelsson has 1 left. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Verhaeghe's 1.6.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Verhaeghe's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.8%, Power-play share 51.5%, Corsi 54.5%.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, Blocked shots 154, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.07.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Carter Verhaeghe
1.50
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Verhaeghe | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Verhaeghe vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Verhaeghe 6G 8A, 53 SOG · Samuelsson 1G 1A, 22 SOG
Verhaeghe blocked 2 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 6 of Verhaeghe's.
On the ice against each other (Verhaeghe's side)
30:23 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Verhaeghe's side
- Shot attempts
- 37–43
- 46.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–2.8
- 27.4%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Verhaeghe | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | FLA 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-02 | FLA 3–5 BUF | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-12 | FLA 4–3 BUF | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-18 | FLA 0–3 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-12 | FLA 3–2 BUF | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-08 | FLA 4–0 BUF | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-28 | FLA 5–2 BUF | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-12 | FLA 2–5 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-04-04 | FLA 2–1 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-24 | FLA 1–3 BUF | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-16 | FLA 4–1 BUF | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-15 | FLA 4–3 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Carter Verhaeghe
3games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.6 pts
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Carter Verhaeghe or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50. Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Carter Verhaeghe or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Verhaeghe and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Verhaeghe's team went 10–5. Verhaeghe had 14 points (6 goals) and Samuelsson had 2 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →