Who to start · 2025-26
Clayton Keller vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Keller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Larkin has 1 left. We project Keller for 3.1 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.
Clayton Keller has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Keller's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Scoring chances 56.1%, Offensive-zone start % 69.8%.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Goals above expected −0.5, Transition attempts /60 1.39.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Clayton Keller
2.03
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Keller | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.76 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Keller vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Keller 9G 9A, 43 SOG · Larkin 6G 5A, 42 SOG
Keller's offensive zone 2–2 · neutral 0–0 · Keller's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Keller's side)
15:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–13
- 55.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.6
- 62.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Keller | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | UTA 4–1 DET | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-17 | UTA 4–1 DET | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-24 | UTA 1–5 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-06 | UTA 4–2 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2023-01-17 | ARI 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-25 | ARI 3–4 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 9S |
| 2022-03-08 | ARI 9–2 DET | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-11-20 | ARI 2–1 DET | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2019-12-22 | ARI 5–2 DET | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-03-02 | ARI 3–1 DET | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2018-11-13 | ARI 1–6 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2017-10-31 | ARI 3–5 DET | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Clayton Keller
3games (2 left)
3.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Clayton Keller or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Clayton Keller or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Keller and Larkin done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 8–5. Keller had 18 points (9 goals) and Larkin had 11 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Keller or Larkin?
- Against each other, Keller has won 2 and Larkin 2 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →