Who to start · 2025-26
Colton Parayko vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73.
Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Parayko has 1 game left; Larkin has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.1 ESPN points to Parayko's 1.7.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Parayko's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, High-danger chances 51.0%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.14.
Larkin's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 48, Goals above expected −0.5, Plus/minus +3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Colton Parayko
1.66
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Parayko | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.10 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.18 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.12 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Parayko vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Parayko 1G 5A, 20 SOG · Larkin 4G 6A, 30 SOG
Parayko blocked 5 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 1 of Parayko's.
On the ice against each other (Parayko's side)
17:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Parayko's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–21
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–1.0
- 41.2%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Parayko | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | STL 2–5 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2025-10-25 | STL 4–6 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-23 | STL 4–0 DET | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-24 | STL 1–6 DET | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-23 | STL 4–3 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-21 | STL 2–3 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-12-09 | STL 6–2 DET | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2021-11-24 | STL 2–4 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2019-10-27 | STL 5–4 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2019-03-21 | STL 5–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2018-11-28 | STL 3–4 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2018-02-28 | STL 2–1 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Colton Parayko
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.7 pts
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Colton Parayko or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73. Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Colton Parayko or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Parayko and Larkin done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Parayko's team went 7–6. Parayko had 6 points (1 goals) and Larkin had 10 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →