Who to start · 2025-26
Colton Parayko vs Morgan Rielly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Colton Parayko projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.
This week Parayko has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Parayko for 2.0 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.
Morgan Rielly has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Parayko's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.1, Expected goals 52.3%, Sequence xG 52.1%.
Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.4, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Luck Meter +10.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Colton Parayko
1.73
fantasy points per game
Morgan Rielly
1.61
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Colton Parayko has the edge.
| Points per game from | Parayko | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.14 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Parayko vs Rielly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Parayko 3G 4A, 23 SOG · Rielly 1G 3A, 25 SOG
Parayko blocked 6 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 0 of Parayko's.
On the ice against each other (Parayko's side)
11:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Parayko's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–14
- 41.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.2
- 50.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Parayko | Rielly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | STL 5–1 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-18 | STL 2–3 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-11-02 | STL 4–2 TOR | 2G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-24 | STL 5–1 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-03 | STL 6–5 TOR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-02-19 | STL 6–3 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-12-07 | STL 2–5 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2019-10-07 | STL 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-02-19 | STL 3–2 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2018-10-20 | STL 4–1 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2018-01-16 | STL 2–1 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2017-11-04 | STL 6–4 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Colton Parayko
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 9th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Colton Parayko or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Colton Parayko projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Colton Parayko or Morgan Rielly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Parayko and Rielly done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Parayko's team went 10–2. Parayko had 7 points (3 goals) and Rielly had 4 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →