Who to start · 2025-26
Dougie Hamilton vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.
Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Hamilton's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.4%, Scoring chances 53.0%, Hits 87.
Larkin's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Top skating speed 22.5, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dougie Hamilton
1.63
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hamilton | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.31 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.50 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hamilton 7G 15A, 73 SOG · Larkin 14G 16A, 72 SOG
Hamilton blocked 1 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 2 of Hamilton's.
On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)
14:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–10
- 58.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.2
- 75.5%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hamilton | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | NJD 5–3 DET | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-11-24 | NJD 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-16 | NJD 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-29 | NJD 5–4 DET | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-24 | NJD 3–5 DET | 0G 1A 6S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-22 | NJD 0–4 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-10-12 | NJD 4–3 DET | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2023-01-04 | NJD 5–1 DET | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-10-25 | NJD 6–2 DET | 0G 2A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-15 | NJD 2–5 DET | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2021-12-18 | NJD 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 3G 1A 3S |
| 2021-04-12 | CAR 1–3 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dougie Hamilton
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hamilton and Larkin done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 12–12. Hamilton had 22 points (7 goals) and Larkin had 30 (14 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →