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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Eeli Tolvanen

Dougie HamiltonDougie HamiltonDevils · DefencevsEeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.2.

Dougie Hamilton has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Corsi 54.2%, Fenwick 54.1%.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, On-ice PDO 993.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dougie Hamilton has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.420.48
Assists (+1)0.330.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.17
Hits (+0.1)0.120.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonTolvanen
9Team record in 16 meetings7
12Points in those games4

Hamilton 4G 8A, 60 SOG · Tolvanen 1G 3A, 29 SOG

3Hits on each other3
2Shots blocked by the other2

Hamilton blocked 2 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 2 of Hamilton's.

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

8:43 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
13–4
76.5%
Expected goals
0.7–0.0
97.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScoreHamiltonTolvanen
2026-01-25NJD 2–4 SEA1G 1A 5S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-14NJD 3–2 SEA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-06NJD 3–2 SEA0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-06NJD 3–2 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-02-09NJD 3–1 SEA2G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-19NJD 3–4 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-10NJD 2–3 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2021-11-26NJD 2–4 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2021-05-25 · POCAR 3–2 NSH0G 1A 8S0G 0A 1S
2021-05-23 · POCAR 3–4 NSH0G 0A 7S0G 0A 4S
2021-05-21 · POCAR 4–5 NSH0G 0A 7S0G 0A 6S
2021-05-19 · POCAR 3–0 NSH0G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to Dvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dougie Hamilton leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 9–7. Hamilton had 12 points (4 goals) and Tolvanen had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →