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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Corsi 54.2%, Transition attempts /60 1.42, Fenwick 54.1%.

Rantanen's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1046, Luck Meter +45, Top skating speed 22.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonRantanen
Goals (+2)0.420.64
Assists (+1)0.330.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.21
Hits (+0.1)0.120.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonRantanen
7Team record in 13 meetings6
6Points in those games12

Hamilton 4G 2A, 47 SOG · Rantanen 6G 6A, 31 SOG

1Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other2

Hamilton blocked 0 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 2 of Hamilton's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

8:35 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
12–8
60.0%
Expected goals
0.3–1.2
18.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreHamiltonRantanen
2025-12-03NJD 0–3 DAL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-08NJD 0–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2023-11-07NJD 3–6 COL1G 1A 4S2G 1A 5S
2023-03-01NJD 7–5 COL1G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2022-10-28NJD 1–0 COL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-14NJD 1–3 COL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2022-03-08NJD 5–3 COL0G 0A 3S1G 1A 1S
2019-12-19CAR 3–1 COL0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2019-03-11CAR 3–0 COL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2018-10-20CAR 1–3 COL0G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2018-02-28CGY 2–5 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2018-02-24CGY 5–1 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Rantanen done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 7–6. Hamilton had 6 points (4 goals) and Rantanen had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →