Who to start · 2025-26
Dougie Hamilton vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.
Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Hamilton has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hamilton's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Hits 87, Transition attempts /60 1.42.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 455, On-ice PDO 1054, Top skating speed 24.8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dougie Hamilton
1.74
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hamilton | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.50 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hamilton vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hamilton 5G 2A, 50 SOG · MacKinnon 12G 10A, 75 SOG
Hamilton blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Hamilton's.
On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)
14:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–15
- 54.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.0
- 38.1%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hamilton | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | NJD 4–8 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2025-10-26 | NJD 4–3 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-26 | NJD 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 7S |
| 2024-12-08 | NJD 0–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-11-07 | NJD 3–6 COL | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-01 | NJD 7–5 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2022-10-28 | NJD 1–0 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2022-04-14 | NJD 1–3 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-08 | NJD 5–3 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2019-12-19 | CAR 3–1 COL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2019-03-11 | CAR 3–0 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2018-10-20 | CAR 1–3 COL | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 2A 5S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dougie Hamilton
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to D
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hamilton and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 8–7. Hamilton had 7 points (5 goals) and MacKinnon had 22 (12 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →