Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Filip Hronek

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hronek has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.2.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Penalty minutes 48, Sequence xG 48.4%.

Hronek's biggest edges: Hits 133, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.069, Offensive-zone start % 48.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Filip Hronek

1.77

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinHronek
Goals (+2)0.920.20
Assists (+1)0.450.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.17
Hits (+0.1)0.060.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.61

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Hronek

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinHronek
4Team record in 5 meetings1
2Points in those games3

Larkin 1G 1A, 12 SOG · Hronek 1G 2A, 8 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other4

Larkin blocked 0 of Hronek's shots; Hronek blocked 4 of Larkin's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0
17Goals set up by the other5

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

12:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
7–14
33.3%
Expected goals
0.5–0.5
50.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Filip Hronek
DateScoreLarkinHronek
2026-01-08DET 5–1 VAN0G 1A 7S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-08DET 4–0 VAN1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-02DET 3–2 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-15DET 1–4 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-10DET 4–3 VAN0G 0A 0S1G 2A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinHronek

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Filip Hronek in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Filip Hronek?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Hronek done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 4–1. Larkin had 2 points (1 goals) and Hronek had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →