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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs MacKenzie Weegar

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Weegar has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.2.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Hardest shot 91.7, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.

Weegar's biggest edges: Hits 167, Forecheck xG /60 0.35, Blocked shots 175.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

MacKenzie Weegar

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinWeegar
Goals (+2)0.920.10
Assists (+1)0.450.30
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.19
Hits (+0.1)0.060.21
Blocks (+0.5)0.221.11

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Weegar

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinWeegar
11Team record in 25 meetings14
20Points in those games8

Larkin 7G 13A, 75 SOG · Weegar 2G 6A, 46 SOG

2Hits on each other3
3Shots blocked by the other3

Larkin blocked 3 of Weegar's shots; Weegar blocked 3 of Larkin's.

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

5:12 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
9–3
75.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.2
78.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and MacKenzie Weegar
DateScoreLarkinWeegar
2025-12-10DET 4–3 CGY1G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-01DET 3–1 CGY1G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2024-11-27DET 2–1 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-17DET 5–0 CGY1G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-22DET 6–2 CGY1G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2023-02-16DET 5–2 CGY0G 3A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-09DET 2–1 CGY1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-04-17DET 1–6 FLA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-05DET 2–6 FLA0G 0A 5S0G 2A 1S
2021-10-29DET 2–3 FLA0G 0A 7S0G 1A 1S
2021-04-01DET 2–3 FLA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-03-30DET 1–4 FLA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinWeegar

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or MacKenzie Weegar in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or MacKenzie Weegar?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Weegar done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 11–14. Larkin had 20 points (7 goals) and Weegar had 8 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →