Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Mario Ferraro
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Power-play share 66.3%, Offensive-zone time 42.7%, Power-play time per game 3:13.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Luck Meter +50, Goals above expected +2.7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Mario Ferraro
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.11 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.91 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Ferraro
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 3G 7A, 33 SOG · Ferraro 1G 3A, 8 SOG
Larkin blocked 0 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 6 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
7:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–8
- 46.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.5
- 44.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | DET 4–2 SJS | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-02 | DET 3–2 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-14 | DET 3–6 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-18 | DET 4–5 SJS | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-01-02 | DET 5–3 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-12-07 | DET 5–6 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-24 | DET 3–2 SJS | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-17 | DET 7–4 SJS | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-12-31 | DET 2–0 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-11-16 | DET 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Mario Ferraro?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Ferraro done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 6–4. Larkin had 10 points (3 goals) and Ferraro had 4 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →