Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Mike Matheson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left; Matheson has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.1 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.8.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.7%, Corsi 50.5%, Power-play share 66.3%.
Matheson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.035, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Blocked shots 150.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Mike Matheson
1.77
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Matheson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.18 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.96 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Matheson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 8G 12A, 77 SOG · Matheson 4G 7A, 57 SOG
Larkin blocked 3 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 6 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
10:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–7
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 33.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Matheson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | DET 4–0 MTL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-09 | DET 1–5 MTL | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-08 | DET 1–4 MTL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-01-23 | DET 4–2 MTL | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-21 | DET 1–5 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-20 | DET 3–4 MTL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-16 | DET 5–4 MTL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-04-15 | DET 5–4 MTL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-02 | DET 5–4 MTL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-09 | DET 2–3 MTL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2023-04-04 | DET 5–0 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-26 | DET 4–3 MTL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
Mike Matheson
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Mike Matheson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Matheson done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 11–12. Larkin had 20 points (8 goals) and Matheson had 11 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →