Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Mikhail Sergachev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left; Sergachev has 2 left. We project Sergachev for 4.2 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.1.

Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Penalty minutes 48, Goals 34.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.8, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.062.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Mikhail Sergachev

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinSergachev
Goals (+2)0.920.26
Assists (+1)0.450.63
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.20
Hits (+0.1)0.060.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.80

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Sergachev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinSergachev
7Team record in 26 meetings19
15Points in those games12

Larkin 9G 6A, 78 SOG · Sergachev 2G 10A, 52 SOG

1Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other3

Larkin blocked 0 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 3 of Larkin's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

8:02 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
5–12
29.4%
Expected goals
0.2–1.2
13.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Mikhail Sergachev
DateScoreLarkinSergachev
2026-02-04DET 1–4 UTA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-17DET 1–4 UTA0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-24DET 5–1 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-06DET 2–4 UTA1G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-14DET 6–4 TBL0G 1A 7S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-13DET 0–5 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2023-02-25DET 0–3 TBL0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-21DET 7–4 TBL2G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-06DET 4–2 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-26DET 1–2 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-04DET 1–3 TBL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2021-10-14DET 6–7 TBL1G 0A 3S0G 2A 3S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinSergachev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

4.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.1 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.1 pts

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Mikhail Sergachev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Sergachev done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–19. Larkin had 15 points (9 goals) and Sergachev had 12 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →