Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Mikko Rantanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.
Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Corsi 50.5%, Fenwick 50.7%.
Rantanen's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1046, Luck Meter +45, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Mikko Rantanen
2.34
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Rantanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.69 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.86 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Rantanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 4G 11A, 29 SOG · Rantanen 2G 16A, 27 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 1–1 · Larkin's defensive zone 2–2 (2021-22 to 2024-25)
Larkin blocked 0 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 1 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
7:04 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–6
- 53.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 39.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Rantanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | DET 4–3 DAL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2025-04-14 | DET 6–4 DAL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-04 | DET 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-07 | DET 1–2 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-02-22 | DET 2–1 COL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-03-18 | DET 1–5 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-16 | DET 3–6 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-23 | DET 2–5 COL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2021-12-10 | DET 3–7 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2020-01-20 | DET 3–6 COL | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2019-03-05 | DET 3–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2018-12-02 | DET 0–2 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Mikko Rantanen
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Mikko Rantanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Rantanen done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 3–11. Larkin had 15 points (4 goals) and Rantanen had 18 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Rantanen?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 5 and Rantanen 4 of their 9 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →