Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Morgan Frost
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.2.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.7, Plus/minus +3, Ice time per game 20:11.
Frost's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Goals above expected +3.0, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.028.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Frost 23–23.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Morgan Frost
1.37
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Frost |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.54 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Frost
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 4G 6A, 34 SOG · Frost 1G 0A, 21 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 6–5 · neutral 6–7 · Larkin's defensive zone 11–11 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
1:47 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–1
- 83.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.1
- 62.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | DET 4–3 CGY | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-01 | DET 3–1 CGY | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-21 | DET 1–2 PHI | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6–4 PHI | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-12 | DET 1–4 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-25 | DET 3–0 PHI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-22 | DET 7–6 PHI | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-25 | DET 0–3 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-05 | DET 1–3 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-21 | DET 1–2 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-22 | DET 6–3 PHI | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-11-29 | DET 1–6 PHI | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Morgan Frost?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Frost done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 6–6. Larkin had 10 points (4 goals) and Frost had 1 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Frost?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 23 and Frost 23 of their 46 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →