Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Penalty minutes 48, Ice-time share 33.3%.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Scoring chances 58.5%, High-danger chances 54.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.78
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 4G 7A, 43 SOG · Ehlers 5G 6A, 51 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Larkin's defensive zone 2–0 (2017-18 to 2022-23)
Larkin blocked 1 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 0 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
18:36 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–27
- 27.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.9
- 27.7%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | DET 2–5 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-12 | DET 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-27 | DET 2–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-04 | DET 4–2 WPG | 2G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-30 | DET 2–6 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-20 | DET 2–5 WPG | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2023-10-26 | DET 1–4 WPG | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2023-03-31 | DET 2–6 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-01-10 | DET 7–5 WPG | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2022-04-06 | DET 3–1 WPG | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2019-12-12 | DET 5–2 WPG | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-12-10 | DET 1–5 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 6–9. Larkin had 11 points (4 goals) and Ehlers had 11 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Ehlers?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 2 and Ehlers 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →