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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Pavel Buchnevich

Dylan LarkinDylan LarkinRed Wings · CentrevsPavel BuchnevichPavel BuchnevichBlues · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 1.8 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Dylan Larkin has the better number in 25 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 52.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.029, 20+ mph bursts 186.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, High-danger chances 50.1%, Scoring chances 50.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.39

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.920.49
Assists (+1)0.450.35
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.18
Hits (+0.1)0.060.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.25

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Dylan Larkin and Pavel Buchnevich have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 25 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →