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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Rickard Rakell

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rickard Rakell's 2.10.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rakell has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Rakell's 2.0.

Rickard Rakell has the better number in 18 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 48, Faceoff win % 52.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.029.

Rakell's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 66.1%, High-danger chances 52.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.35.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Rickard Rakell

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinRakell
Goals (+2)0.920.80
Assists (+1)0.450.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.28
Hits (+0.1)0.060.12
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.36

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Rakell

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinRakell
9Team record in 20 meetings11
23Points in those games16

Larkin 9G 14A, 55 SOG · Rakell 6G 10A, 56 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other0

Larkin's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Larkin's defensive zone 2–0 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other2

Larkin blocked 0 of Rakell's shots; Rakell blocked 2 of Larkin's.

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

16:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
9–18
33.3%
Expected goals
0.1–1.0
5.3%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Rickard Rakell
DateScoreLarkinRakell
2026-03-31DET 1–5 PIT1G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2026-01-03DET 1–4 PIT0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2026-01-01DET 3–4 PIT0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-31DET 4–2 PIT1G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-13DET 3–2 PIT0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-10DET 3–6 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-11DET 5–6 PIT1G 2A 3S0G 2A 3S
2023-10-18DET 6–3 PIT0G 3A 4S0G 0A 7S
2023-04-08DET 1–5 PIT0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-28DET 7–4 PIT1G 2A 4S0G 2A 1S
2022-12-28DET 5–4 PIT1G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-27DET 2–11 PIT1G 0A 3S1G 2A 4S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinRakell

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Rickard Rakell

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Rickard Rakell in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rickard Rakell's 2.10. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Rickard Rakell?
On 2025-26 numbers, Rickard Rakell leads in 18 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Rakell done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 9–11. Larkin had 23 points (9 goals) and Rakell had 16 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Rakell?
Against each other, Larkin has won 2 and Rakell 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →