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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Larkin vs Seth Jarvis

In 2025-26, Seth Jarvis scored 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.

Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Larkin has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.0 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Penalty minutes 48, On-ice PDO 986.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Scoring chances 55.6%, Offensive-zone start % 69.0%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Larkin

2.13

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarkinJarvis
Goals (+2)0.920.90
Assists (+1)0.450.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.32
Hits (+0.1)0.060.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larkin vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarkinJarvis
5Team record in 11 meetings6
7Points in those games8

Larkin 2G 5A, 35 SOG · Jarvis 2G 6A, 30 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other3

Larkin's offensive zone 2–3 · neutral 0–0 · Larkin's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24 to 2024-25)

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Larkin blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 1 of Larkin's.

On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)

3:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side

Shot attempts
4–5
44.4%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
81.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Larkin and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreLarkinJarvis
2026-02-28DET 2–5 CAR0G 1A 4S0G 1A 5S
2026-01-12DET 4–3 CAR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2025-04-04DET 5–3 CAR0G 2A 2S0G 1A 7S
2025-03-14DET 2–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-04DET 1–2 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-28DET 0–4 CAR0G 0A 4S1G 2A 4S
2024-01-19DET 2–4 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-30DET 3–2 CAR1G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-13DET 0–1 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-04-14DET 3–0 CAR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-01DET 4–3 CAR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarkinJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Larkin

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Larkin or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
In 2025-26, Seth Jarvis scored 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larkin and Jarvis done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 5–6. Larkin had 7 points (2 goals) and Jarvis had 8 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Jarvis?
Against each other, Larkin has won 3 and Jarvis 3 of their 6 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →