Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Stamkos's 2.0.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Transition attempts /60 1.39.
Stamkos's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.43, Goals above expected +5.9.
Head to head on the dot, Stamkos leads Larkin 62–32.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.05
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 1.02 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 8G 8A, 81 SOG · Stamkos 16G 12A, 102 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 10–21 · neutral 8–13 · Larkin's defensive zone 14–28 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Larkin blocked 0 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 1 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
9:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–14
- 41.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.9
- 20.7%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | DET 4–2 NSH | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3–6 NSH | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-19 | DET 5–2 NSH | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3–0 NSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-04-01 | DET 4–2 TBL | 0G 2A 7S | 1G 0A 8S |
| 2024-01-21 | DET 2–1 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-10-14 | DET 6–4 TBL | 0G 1A 7S | 2G 1A 6S |
| 2023-04-13 | DET 0–5 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-25 | DET 0–3 TBL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-21 | DET 7–4 TBL | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2022-12-06 | DET 4–2 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-26 | DET 1–2 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 7S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 10–17. Larkin had 16 points (8 goals) and Stamkos had 28 (16 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 32 and Stamkos 62 of their 94 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →