Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Vince Dunn
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.2.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Fenwick 50.7%, Corsi 50.5%.
Dunn's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1012, Offensive-zone time 43.7%, Offensive-zone start % 47.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Vince Dunn
1.59
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.27 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.53 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Dunn
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 5G 10A, 38 SOG · Dunn 1G 11A, 24 SOG
Larkin blocked 3 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 0 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
15:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–11
- 62.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.4
- 66.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Dunn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | DET 4–3 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-11-18 | DET 4–2 SEA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-04 | DET 5–4 SEA | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-12 | DET 6–2 SEA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-19 | DET 4–3 SEA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-24 | DET 4–5 SEA | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-03-02 | DET 4–5 SEA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-02-18 | DET 2–4 SEA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-19 | DET 2–4 SEA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2021-12-01 | DET 4–3 SEA | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2019-10-27 | DET 4–5 STL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-03-21 | DET 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Vince Dunn
3games (2 left)
3.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Vince Dunn?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Dunn done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–8. Larkin had 15 points (5 goals) and Dunn had 12 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →