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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Mikhail Sergachev

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsMikhail SergachevMikhail SergachevMammoth · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Ascension score 57, Blocked shots 81.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 23.8, Corsi 52.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Mikhail Sergachev

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenSergachev
Goals (+2)0.480.24
Assists (+1)0.260.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.21
Hits (+0.1)0.240.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.81

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Sergachev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenSergachev
5Team record in 16 meetings11
8Points in those games9

Tolvanen 4G 4A, 27 SOG · Sergachev 1G 8A, 41 SOG

0Hits on each other4
1Shots blocked by the other3

Tolvanen blocked 1 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 3 of Tolvanen's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

13:37 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
17–11
60.7%
Expected goals
0.9–0.4
69.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Mikhail Sergachev
DateScoreTolvanenSergachev
2026-04-02SEA 2–6 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2026-01-17SEA 3–6 UTA0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-12SEA 3–5 UTA0G 0A 5S0G 1A 4S
2025-04-08SEA 1–7 UTA0G 0A 0S1G 2A 2S
2025-03-14SEA 4–2 UTA2G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-30SEA 5–2 UTA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-09SEA 3–4 TBL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-30SEA 4–3 TBL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-16SEA 1–4 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-19NSH 2–3 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-02-26NSH 2–3 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2021-03-15NSH 4–1 TBL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenSergachev

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Mikhail Sergachev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Sergachev done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 5–11. Tolvanen had 8 points (4 goals) and Sergachev had 9 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →