Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs J.T. Miller
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
J.T. Miller has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Goals above expected +0.7, On-ice PDO 1012.
Miller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.9%, Hits 123, Power-play share 73.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
J.T. Miller
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.50 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.53 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Miller
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 2G 7A, 42 SOG · Miller 6G 11A, 36 SOG
Provorov blocked 5 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 2 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
21:43 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–27
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–1.0
- 41.9%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Miller |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | CBJ 6–3 NYR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-02 | CBJ 5–4 NYR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-15 | CBJ 1–2 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-15 | CBJ 0–4 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-09 | CBJ 7–3 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-02-08 | CBJ 3–4 NYR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-27 | CBJ 4–5 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2024-01-15 | CBJ 4–3 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-18 | PHI 2–6 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2022-10-15 | PHI 3–2 VAN | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-10-28 | PHI 2–1 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-10-15 | PHI 4–5 VAN | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 2A 2S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or J.T. Miller?
- On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Miller done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 8–12. Provorov had 9 points (2 goals) and Miller had 17 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →