Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Vladimir Tarasenko
In 2025-26, Ivan Provorov scored 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tarasenko for 1.2 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Ivan Provorov has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Plus/minus +14, Corsi 50.3%.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 41.8%, Luck Meter +35, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 0G 6A, 20 SOG · Tarasenko 6G 8A, 46 SOG
Provorov blocked 3 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
9:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–11
- 15.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.8
- 13.7%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | CBJ 2–5 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-11 | CBJ 7–4 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-03-01 | CBJ 5–3 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-02-27 | CBJ 5–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-02 | CBJ 4–5 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-11 | CBJ 0–4 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-13 | CBJ 3–6 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-01 | CBJ 4–2 OTT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-01 | PHI 2–3 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2022-11-08 | PHI 5–1 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-24 | PHI 5–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-02-22 | PHI 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Ivan Provorov scored 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 8–8. Provorov had 6 points (0 goals) and Tarasenko had 14 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →