Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Rasmus Dahlin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Dahlin's 2.10.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dahlin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dahlin for 2.5 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Offensive-zone start % 63.0%, Blocked shots 41.
Dahlin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.2, Top skating speed 22.5, Hits 67.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Rasmus Dahlin
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.48 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Dahlin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 15G 11A, 81 SOG · Dahlin 6G 16A, 78 SOG
Guentzel blocked 0 of Dahlin's shots; Dahlin blocked 3 of Guentzel's.
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
19:58 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 24–17
- 58.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.8
- 53.5%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | TBL 2–4 BUF | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-08 | TBL 7–8 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2026-02-28 | TBL 2–6 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2026-02-03 | TBL 4–3 BUF | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2025-04-13 | TBL 7–4 BUF | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-04-05 | TBL 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-06 | TBL 6–5 BUF | 3G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-01-06 | PIT 1–3 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-24 | PIT 2–3 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-11 | PIT 4–0 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-10 | PIT 3–1 BUF | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-09 | PIT 4–3 BUF | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Rasmus Dahlin
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Rasmus Dahlin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Dahlin's 2.10. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Rasmus Dahlin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Dahlin done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 14–13. Guentzel had 26 points (15 goals) and Dahlin had 22 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →