Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left; Stamkos has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 2.3 ESPN points to Stamkos's 2.1.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, Fenwick 52.1%, Sequence xG 54.9%.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.0, Draw Equity /100 +0.085, Faceoff win % 57.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 7G 11A, 66 SOG · Stamkos 6G 13A, 48 SOG
Guentzel's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 1–0 · Guentzel's defensive zone 0–2 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
1:54 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–6
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.1
- 71.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | TBL 3–2 NSH | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-28 | TBL 5–2 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-29 | TBL 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-10-28 | TBL 3–2 NSH | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2023-12-06 | PIT 1–3 TBL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-30 | PIT 4–2 TBL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-02 | PIT 5–4 TBL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-02-26 | PIT 7–3 TBL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-15 | PIT 6–2 TBL | 1G 1A 6S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-03-03 | PIT 5–1 TBL | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-10-26 | PIT 1–5 TBL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2019-10-23 | PIT 2–3 TBL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.3 pts
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 11–7. Guentzel had 18 points (7 goals) and Stamkos had 19 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Guentzel or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Guentzel has won 2 and Stamkos 3 of their 5 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →