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Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Nazem Kadri

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nazem Kadri's 1.63.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Kadri had 50 in 77 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Kadri has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Kadri's 1.3.

John Carlson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +2.6, Plus/minus +9.

Kadri's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.53, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.057, Hits 50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Nazem Kadri

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonKadri
Goals (+2)0.370.39
Assists (+1)0.610.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.27
Hits (+0.1)0.040.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Kadri

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonKadri
8Team record in 14 meetings6
12Points in those games11

Carlson 2G 10A, 28 SOG · Kadri 6G 5A, 42 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other0

Carlson blocked 3 of Kadri's shots; Kadri blocked 0 of Carlson's.

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

5:43 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
2–10
16.7%
Expected goals
0.0–0.3
0.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Nazem Kadri
DateScoreCarlsonKadri
2026-01-23WSH 3–1 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-25WSH 1–3 CGY0G 1A 4S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-28WSH 3–1 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 5S
2024-03-18WSH 5–2 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 5S
2023-10-16WSH 3–2 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-03WSH 2–5 CGY1G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2022-11-25WSH 3–0 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2021-10-19WSH 6–3 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2019-10-14WSH 3–6 COL0G 1A 2S1G 2A 3S
2019-01-23WSH 3–6 TOR0G 1A 4S3G 1A 4S
2018-10-13WSH 2–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2018-03-03WSH 5–2 TOR1G 2A 3S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonKadri

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Nazem Kadri

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Nazem Kadri in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nazem Kadri's 1.63. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Kadri had 50 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Nazem Kadri?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Kadri done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 8–6. Carlson had 12 points (2 goals) and Kadri had 11 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →