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Who to start · 2025-26

John Tavares vs Justin Faulk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.

Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games.

This week Tavares has 1 game left; Faulk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Faulk for 1.8 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.

John Tavares has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tavares's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, Sequence xG 48.3%.

Faulk's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.5, Transition attempts /60 0.52, Blocked shots 132.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Tavares

1.80

fantasy points per game

Justin Faulk

1.81

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Justin Faulk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTavaresFaulk
Goals (+2)0.670.38
Assists (+1)0.490.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.18
Hits (+0.1)0.090.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.79

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tavares vs Faulk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TavaresFaulk
7Team record in 16 meetings9
13Points in those games6

Tavares 7G 6A, 54 SOG · Faulk 1G 5A, 50 SOG

0Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other3

Tavares blocked 0 of Faulk's shots; Faulk blocked 3 of Tavares's.

On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)

5:25 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side

Shot attempts
7–10
41.2%
Expected goals
0.2–0.4
35.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between John Tavares and Justin Faulk
DateScoreTavaresFaulk
2025-11-18TOR 3–2 STL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-02TOR 2–4 STL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-24TOR 1–5 STL0G 1A 7S0G 1A 1S
2023-01-03TOR 5–6 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-27TOR 5–4 STL1G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2022-01-15TOR 6–5 STL1G 0A 6S0G 1A 3S
2022-02-19TOR 3–6 STL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2019-12-07TOR 5–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2019-10-07TOR 2–3 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-04-02TOR 1–4 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2018-12-11TOR 4–1 CAR1G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2018-11-21TOR 2–5 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TavaresFaulk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Tavares

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Justin Faulk

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start John Tavares or Justin Faulk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Tavares or Justin Faulk?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Tavares leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tavares and Faulk done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 7–9. Tavares had 13 points (7 goals) and Faulk had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →