Who to start · 2025-26
Justin Faulk vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81.
Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Faulk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Faulk's 1.8.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Faulk's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043, Ascension score 52, Blocked shots 132.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Scoring chances 59.3%, Sequence xG 59.5%, Expected goals 59.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Justin Faulk
1.81
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Faulk | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.38 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.29 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.79 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Faulk vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Faulk 1G 13A, 67 SOG · MacKinnon 22G 36A, 160 SOG
Faulk blocked 5 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Faulk's.
On the ice against each other (Faulk's side)
5:23 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Faulk's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–10
- 16.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.6
- 7.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Faulk | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | STL 1–6 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 2A 7S |
| 2025-04-05 | STL 5–4 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2025-03-29 | STL 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-23 | STL 3–1 COL | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-31 | STL 0–5 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-19 | STL 3–4 COL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-12-29 | STL 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-11 | STL 8–2 COL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2023-11-01 | STL 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-02-18 | STL 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2023-01-28 | STL 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-14 | STL 3–2 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 37 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Justin Faulk
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Justin Faulk or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81. Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Justin Faulk or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Faulk and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 37 games against each other in our data, Faulk's team went 13–24. Faulk had 14 points (1 goals) and MacKinnon had 58 (22 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →