Who to start · 2025-26
Mario Ferraro vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Ferraro has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has no games left. We project Ferraro for 1.6 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 0.0.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Blocked shots 150, Luck Meter +50.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Power-play share 86.6%, Power-play time per game 3:30.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mario Ferraro
1.56
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ferraro | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.17 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.91 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ferraro 0G 4A, 13 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 6G 12A, 44 SOG
Ferraro blocked 2 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 0 of Ferraro's.
On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)
18:52 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–14
- 56.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.7
- 66.8%
- Goals
- 3–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ferraro | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | SJS 2–5 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-03-17 | SJS 3–5 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-28 | SJS 5–4 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-29 | SJS 3–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-03 | SJS 2–3 EDM | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-21 | SJS 2–3 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-15 | SJS 2–9 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-12-28 | SJS 0–5 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-09 | SJS 3–2 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-13 | SJS 2–5 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | SJS 1–6 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2023-03-20 | SJS 4–5 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 7S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to Dvs John Gibson (.901)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEAOpp allows 16th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Philipp Grubauer (.909)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mario Ferraro or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ferraro and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 3–15. Ferraro had 4 points (0 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 18 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →