Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Knies vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Knies has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stamkos for 2.0 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Knies's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.20, Ascension score 56, Assists 43.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 323, Scoring chances 52.7%, High-danger chances 53.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Knies
2.06
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.
| Points per game from | Knies | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.80 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Knies vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Knies 3G 11A, 24 SOG · Stamkos 4G 8A, 36 SOG
Knies blocked 2 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 0 of Knies's.
On the ice against each other (Knies's side)
11:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Knies's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–15
- 44.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.5
- 53.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Knies | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | TOR 3–5 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-14 | TOR 7–4 NSH | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-22 | TOR 2–5 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-04 | TOR 3–2 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-17 | TOR 4–6 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-03 | TOR 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-06 | TOR 6–5 TBL | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-21 | TOR 4–3 TBL | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-04-29 · PO | TOR 2–1 TBL | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-04-27 · PO | TOR 2–4 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-04-24 · PO | TOR 5–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-22 · PO | TOR 4–3 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Knies
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Knies or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Knies or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Knies and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Knies's team went 9–5. Knies had 14 points (3 goals) and Stamkos had 12 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

