Who to start · 2025-26
Mattias Samuelsson vs Sam Reinhart
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.
Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games.
This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Reinhart has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Reinhart for 2.5 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, Goals above expected +4.6, 20+ mph bursts 93.
Reinhart's biggest edges: Power-play share 78.3%, Power-play time per game 4:07, Offensive-zone time 45.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Sam Reinhart
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sam Reinhart has the edge.
| Points per game from | Samuelsson | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.44 | 0.80 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Reinhart
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Samuelsson 1G 1A, 21 SOG · Reinhart 3G 9A, 46 SOG
Samuelsson blocked 5 of Reinhart's shots; Reinhart blocked 0 of Samuelsson's.
On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)
24:48 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 27–38
- 41.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.6–1.5
- 52.0%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Samuelsson | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | BUF 3–2 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-02 | BUF 5–3 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2026-01-12 | BUF 3–4 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2025-10-18 | BUF 3–0 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-08 | BUF 0–4 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-28 | BUF 2–5 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-10-12 | BUF 5–2 FLA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-04-04 | BUF 1–2 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-24 | BUF 3–1 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-01-16 | BUF 1–4 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-15 | BUF 3–4 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-04-08 | BUF 3–4 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Sam Reinhart
3games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Sam Reinhart in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Sam Reinhart?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Samuelsson and Reinhart done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 5–9. Samuelsson had 2 points (1 goals) and Reinhart had 12 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →