Who to start · 2025-26
Mitch Marner vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.
Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Marner has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marner's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, Goals above expected +2.1, High-danger chances 59.0%.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, 20+ mph bursts 171, Transition attempts /60 1.50.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mitch Marner
1.96
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marner | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.69 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marner vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marner 6G 14A, 35 SOG · Jarvis 3G 4A, 35 SOG
Marner's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Marner's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
Marner blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 1 of Marner's.
On the ice against each other (Marner's side)
37:45 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side
- Shot attempts
- 30–35
- 46.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.9–0.6
- 74.6%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marner | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 · PO | VGK 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-06-11 · PO | VGK 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2026-06-09 · PO | VGK 3–5 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-06-06 · PO | VGK 5–4 CAR | 3G 1A 10S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-06-04 · PO | VGK 3–4 CAR | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-06-02 · PO | VGK 5–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-28 | VGK 6–3 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-20 | VGK 4–1 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-13 | TOR 4–1 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-09 | TOR 3–6 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-30 | TOR 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANALikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mitch Marner or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mitch Marner or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marner and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 9–7. Marner had 20 points (6 goals) and Jarvis had 7 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marner or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Marner has won 0 and Jarvis 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →