Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Tim Stützle
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tim Stützle's 2.33.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stützle has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Stützle's 1.6.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 26 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Transition attempts /60 1.83, High-danger chances 54.8%.
Stützle's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.70, Hits 126, Shorthanded points 2.
Head to head on the dot, MacKinnon leads Stützle 8–7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.17
fantasy points per game
Tim Stützle
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Stützle |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.32 | 0.85 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Stützle
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 7G 15A, 38 SOG · Stützle 3G 8A, 19 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 2–2 · neutral 4–5 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 2–0 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
MacKinnon blocked 1 of Stützle's shots; Stützle blocked 0 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
5:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–6
- 53.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.2
- 57.5%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Stützle |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | COL 2–5 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2026-01-08 | COL 8–2 OTT | 1G 3A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-20 | COL 5–1 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-10-27 | COL 5–4 OTT | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-16 | COL 7–4 OTT | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-21 | COL 6–4 OTT | 4G 1A 9S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2023-03-16 | COL 5–4 OTT | 0G 3A 6S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2023-01-14 | COL 7–0 OTT | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-12-04 | COL 5–6 OTT | 0G 3A 3S | 2G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Tim Stützle
1games
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Tim Stützle in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tim Stützle's 2.33. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Tim Stützle?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 26 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Stützle done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 7–2. MacKinnon had 22 points (7 goals) and Stützle had 11 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Stützle?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 8 and Stützle 7 of their 15 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →