Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Faceoffs won 681, Transition attempts /60 1.83.
Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Blocked shots 53, Penalty minutes 117.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.49 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.87 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.46 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 7G 12A, 51 SOG · Wilson 1G 9A, 27 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 1–0 (2018-19)
MacKinnon blocked 2 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 4 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
12:57 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–11
- 52.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.6
- 51.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | COL 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-21 | COL 2–1 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-15 | COL 2–5 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-02-13 | COL 6–3 WSH | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-24 | COL 6–2 WSH | 4G 1A 8S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-01-24 | COL 3–2 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-18 | COL 2–3 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-10-19 | COL 3–6 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2020-02-13 | COL 2–3 WSH | 0G 2A 9S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2019-10-14 | COL 6–3 WSH | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-02-07 | COL 3–4 WSH | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2018-11-16 | COL 2–3 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Wilson done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 7–7. MacKinnon had 19 points (7 goals) and Wilson had 10 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Wilson?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 1 and Wilson 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →