Who to start · 2025-26
Rasmus Dahlin vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Dahlin had 74 points in 77 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Dahlin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dahlin for 2.5 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.
Rasmus Dahlin has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Dahlin's biggest edges: Hits 67, Penalty minutes 76, Top skating speed 22.5.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Blocked shots 66, Shorthanded points 3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Rasmus Dahlin
2.10
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Rasmus Dahlin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dahlin | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dahlin vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dahlin 1G 10A, 23 SOG · O'Reilly 6G 12A, 34 SOG
Dahlin blocked 1 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Dahlin's.
On the ice against each other (Dahlin's side)
15:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dahlin's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–29
- 29.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.6
- 56.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dahlin | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | BUF 3–2 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-20 | BUF 5–3 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2025-02-08 | BUF 4–6 NSH | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 4A 2S |
| 2025-01-31 | BUF 4–3 NSH | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-07 | BUF 2–4 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-03 | BUF 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-21 | BUF 3–6 TOR | 0G 1A 3S | 3G 1A 5S |
| 2022-11-23 | BUF 6–2 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-14 | BUF 2–6 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-02-25 | BUF 3–5 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2020-01-09 | BUF 1–5 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2019-03-17 | BUF 4–3 STL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Rasmus Dahlin
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Rasmus Dahlin or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Dahlin had 74 points in 77 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Rasmus Dahlin or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Rasmus Dahlin leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dahlin and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Dahlin's team went 5–8. Dahlin had 11 points (1 goals) and O'Reilly had 18 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →