Who to start · 2025-26
Ryan O'Reilly vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week O'Reilly has 1 game left; Stamkos has 1 left. We project Stamkos for 2.1 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.
They split the 36 stats both are ranked on 18–18.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Blocked shots 66.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Hits 89, Hardest shot 95.0, Top skating speed 23.0.
Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Stamkos 39–37.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.
| Points per game from | O'Reilly | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.58 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: O'Reilly vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
O'Reilly 5G 12A, 39 SOG · Stamkos 3G 7A, 42 SOG
O'Reilly's offensive zone 12–13 · neutral 10–10 · O'Reilly's defensive zone 17–14 (2017-18 to 2023-24)
O'Reilly blocked 6 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 1 of O'Reilly's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
613:20 at 5-on-5 over 67 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 590–568
- 50.9%
- Expected goals
- 29.6–27.4
- 52.0%
- Goals
- 32–24
Games against each other
| Date | Score | O'Reilly | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-07 | NSH 5–1 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-10 | NSH 3–5 TBL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-29 · PO | TOR 2–1 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-04-27 · PO | TOR 2–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-04-24 · PO | TOR 5–4 TBL | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-22 · PO | TOR 4–3 TBL | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-20 · PO | TOR 7–2 TBL | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-04-18 · PO | TOR 3–7 TBL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-11 | TOR 4–3 TBL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-25 | STL 2–5 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2021-12-02 | STL 2–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2019-11-19 | STL 3–1 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ryan O'Reilly or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ryan O'Reilly or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 18–18 across 36 stats where both qualify.
- How have O'Reilly and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, O'Reilly's team went 11–6. O'Reilly had 17 points (5 goals) and Stamkos had 10 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, O'Reilly or Stamkos?
- Against each other, O'Reilly has won 39 and Stamkos 37 of their 76 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →