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Who to start · 2025-26

Sebastian Aho vs Tyler Bertuzzi

Sebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · CentrevsTyler BertuzziTyler BertuzziBlackhawks · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52.

Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games.

This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Bertuzzi has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Bertuzzi's 1.6.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Fenwick 60.3%, Scoring chances 57.5%.

Bertuzzi's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, On-ice PDO 1020, Luck Meter +45.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Tyler Bertuzzi

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAhoBertuzzi
Goals (+2)0.720.71
Assists (+1)0.590.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.040.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.19
Hits (+0.1)0.070.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Aho vs Bertuzzi

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AhoBertuzzi
9Team record in 18 meetings9
24Points in those games8

Aho 13G 11A, 51 SOG · Bertuzzi 3G 5A, 38 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other2

Aho's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–1 · Aho's defensive zone 0–1 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other0

Aho blocked 1 of Bertuzzi's shots; Bertuzzi blocked 0 of Aho's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Aho's side)

1:55 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side

Shot attempts
3–1
75.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
52.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Sebastian Aho and Tyler Bertuzzi
DateScoreAhoBertuzzi
2026-01-22CAR 3–4 CHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-20CAR 4–3 CHI1G 1A 3S1G 0A 5S
2024-03-24CAR 2–1 TOR1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-16CAR 5–4 TOR2G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-30CAR 3–2 TOR1G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-26CAR 3–4 BOS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-04-14CAR 0–3 DET0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2022-03-01CAR 3–4 DET1G 0A 4S0G 1A 5S
2021-01-16CAR 2–4 DET0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2021-01-14CAR 3–0 DET0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2020-03-10CAR 5–2 DET2G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S
2019-11-24CAR 2–0 DET1G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AhoBertuzzi

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Tyler Bertuzzi

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Sebastian Aho or Tyler Bertuzzi in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Tyler Bertuzzi?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Aho and Bertuzzi done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 9–9. Aho had 24 points (13 goals) and Bertuzzi had 8 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Bertuzzi?
Against each other, Aho has won 2 and Bertuzzi 2 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →