Who to start · 2025-26
Seth Jarvis vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Jarvis has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Stamkos's 2.0.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Plus/minus +6, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40, Fenwick 59.7%.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, On-ice PDO 1004, Penalty minutes 58.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.05
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Jarvis | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.29 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Jarvis vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jarvis 3G 6A, 31 SOG · Stamkos 5G 7A, 18 SOG
Jarvis's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Jarvis's defensive zone 1–1 (2023-24)
Jarvis blocked 0 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 1 of Jarvis's.
On the ice against each other (Jarvis's side)
5:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Jarvis's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–12
- 29.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.9
- 25.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Jarvis | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | CAR 4–1 NSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-06 | CAR 6–3 NSH | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-25 | CAR 1–3 NSH | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-23 | CAR 2–5 NSH | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-24 | CAR 2–8 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-11 | CAR 4–0 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-24 | CAR 0–3 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-28 | CAR 0–4 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2023-03-05 | CAR 6–0 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-03 | CAR 4–3 TBL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-03-29 | CAR 3–4 TBL | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2022-03-22 | CAR 3–2 TBL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RW
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Seth Jarvis or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Seth Jarvis or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Jarvis and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Jarvis's team went 7–6. Jarvis had 9 points (3 goals) and Stamkos had 12 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Jarvis or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Jarvis has won 1 and Stamkos 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →