Who to start · 2025-26
Steven Stamkos vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Stamkos had 66 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Stamkos has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Stamkos's 2.0.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Hardest shot 95.0, Penalty minutes 58.
Harley's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.30, Blocked shots 148.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.
| Points per game from | Stamkos | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.96 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Stamkos vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Stamkos 3G 3A, 20 SOG · Harley 1G 4A, 17 SOG
Stamkos blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 1 of Stamkos's.
On the ice against each other (Stamkos's side)
13:13 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Stamkos's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–10
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.3
- 62.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Stamkos | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NSH 2–3 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | NSH 4–5 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-26 | NSH 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-16 | NSH 5–1 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-03 | NSH 1–5 DAL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-12 | NSH 4–1 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-10 | NSH 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-04 | TBL 4–0 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-02 | TBL 1–8 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Steven Stamkos or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Stamkos had 66 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Steven Stamkos or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Stamkos and Harley done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Stamkos's team went 3–6. Stamkos had 6 points (3 goals) and Harley had 5 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →