Draw Duel
Brayden Yager faceoff stats, 2025-26
WPG · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
—
Only 19 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.
2025-26 FO%
31.6%
6 won of 19 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
55.6% / 0.0%
9 strong-side, 4 weak-side draws this season
Next game
2.0 FOW
2026-10-04 vs DET: 5 draws at 41.0%, range 0–4
Where Yager wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| OZ right | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ right (att.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| Centre | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| NZ left (def.) | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| DZ left | 0 | 0 | — |
| DZ right | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Aatu Räty VAN · L30.4%
- Claude Giroux OTT · R30.5%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R31.2%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L31.4%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L31.6%
- Jack Drury NSH · L31.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L50.8%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L50.4%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L49.3%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L47.6%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L47.2%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R47.1%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 31.6% 19 | 37.5% 16 | — 0 | 0.0% 3 | 25.0% 4 | 30.0% 10 | 40.0% 5 | 55.6% 9 | 0.0% 4 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | 0–4 | 0.0% | 46.7% | 46.3% | a bit unusual (z -1.9) |
| Macklin Celebrini | 2–0 | 100.0% | 42.0% | 42.2% | a bit unusual (z 1.7) |
| Nick Schmaltz | 1–1 | 50.0% | 44.9% | 44.9% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 0–2 | 0.0% | 40.8% | 40.6% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Ty Dellandrea | 1–1 | 50.0% | 40.1% | 40.1% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Brett Howden | 0–2 | 0.0% | 38.8% | 38.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Michael Misa | 1–0 | 100.0% | 43.3% | 43.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.1) |
| Mitch Marner | 0–1 | 0.0% | 37.7% | 37.6% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Jack Eichel | 0–1 | 0.0% | 34.0% | 33.9% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Tomas Hertl | 1–0 | 100.0% | 34.8% | 35.0% | a bit unusual (z 1.4) |
| Keegan Kolesar | 0–1 | 0.0% | 42.9% | 42.8% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | vs SJS | 4 | 5 | 80.0% |
| 2026-04-14 | @ UTA | 1 | 8 | 12.5% |
| 2026-04-13 | @ VGK | 1 | 6 | 16.7% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-04 vs DET likely opponents: Andrew Copp (35%), J.T. Compher (41%)2.0 FOW 0–4
- 2026-10-05 vs PIT likely opponents: Sidney Crosby (33%), Ben Kindel (46%)2.0 FOW 0–4
- 2026-10-07 vs COL likely opponents: Brock Nelson (39%), Nathan MacKinnon (41%)2.1 FOW 0–4
- 2026-10-09 vs ANA likely opponents: Tim Washe (32%), Mikael Granlund (41%)2.0 FOW 0–4
FAQ
What is Brayden Yager's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Brayden Yager's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Brayden Yager win tonight?
When Brayden Yager has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Brayden Yager better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.