Edgehalla

Draw Duel

Michael Misa faceoff stats, 2025-26

SJS · C · Left shot · full player page

Model rating

45.4%

90%: 42.0%–48.9% vs an average regular, on 378 draws since 2023-24

2025-26 FO%

45.8%

162 won of 354 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

47.0% / 42.5%

166 strong-side, 113 weak-side draws this season

Next game

4.7 FOW

2026-10-05 vs DAL: 11 draws at 44.4%, range 2–8

Where Misa wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

46% · 8254% · 3540% · 10— · 848% · 7529% · 1440% · 1053% · 6035% · 60
Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.
Show as a table
Michael Misa faceoff win % by dot
DotDrawsWonFO%
OZ left823846.3%
OZ right351954.3%
NZ left (att.)10440.0%
NZ right (att.)8450.0%
Centre753648.0%
NZ left (def.)14428.6%
NZ right (def.)10440.0%
DZ left603253.3%
DZ right602135.0%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Easiest

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
SeasonAllEVPPPKOZNZDZStrongWeak
2026-2745.8% 2440.9% 22100.0% 2— 050.0% 636.4% 1157.1% 760.0% 550.0% 10
2025-2645.8% 35446.2% 33840.0% 150.0% 148.7% 11744.4% 11744.2% 12047.0% 16642.5% 113

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
OpponentRecordRawModelBlendedUnusual?
Matthew Wood4–833.3%56.5%55.9%a bit unusual (z -1.6)
Erik Haula6–554.5%45.6%45.8%normal luck (z 0.6)
Pavel Buchnevich4–640.0%53.7%53.4%normal luck (z -0.9)
Ryan Greene6–460.0%51.4%51.6%normal luck (z 0.5)
Phillip Danault3–730.0%43.1%42.9%normal luck (z -0.8)
Jonathan Toews4–544.4%36.4%36.5%normal luck (z 0.5)
Nazem Kadri4–450.0%51.4%51.4%normal luck (z -0.1)
Morgan Frost2–625.0%51.0%50.5%a bit unusual (z -1.5)
Jean-Gabriel Pageau2–625.0%38.1%37.9%normal luck (z -0.8)
Jack Roslovic3–537.5%43.8%43.7%normal luck (z -0.4)
Sam Bennett5–362.5%46.3%46.5%normal luck (z 0.9)
Pius Suter4–357.1%47.7%47.8%normal luck (z 0.5)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
DateOppFOWDrawsFO%
2026-10-03vs LAK61346.2%
2026-10-01vs FLA51145.5%
2026-04-16@ WPG51050.0%
2026-04-15@ CHI61060.0%
2026-04-13@ NSH2450.0%
2026-04-11vs VAN4850.0%
2026-04-09@ ANA1520.0%
2026-04-08vs EDM5771.4%
2026-04-06vs CHI5771.4%
2026-04-04vs NSH41136.4%

Projected faceoffs won

  • 2026-10-05 vs DAL likely opponents: Wyatt Johnston (47%), Roope Hintz (43%)4.7 FOW 2–8
  • 2026-10-08 vs STL likely opponents: Robert Thomas (43%), Mason McTavish (47%)5.0 FOW 2–8
  • 2026-10-10 vs EDM likely opponents: Leon Draisaitl (44%), Owen Michaels (55%)5.4 FOW 2–9

FAQ

What is Michael Misa's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Michael Misa's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Michael Misa win tonight?

When Michael Misa has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Michael Misa better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.