Draw Duel
Teddy Blueger faceoff stats, 2025-26
TOR · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
50.3%
90%: 48.2%–52.5% vs an average regular, on 2,301 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
48.1%
199 won of 414 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
48.3% / 44.0%
145 strong-side, 150 weak-side draws this season
Next game
3.2 FOW
2026-10-06 vs NSH: 6 draws at 52.3%, range 1–6
Where Blueger wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 50 | 24 | 48.0% |
| OZ right | 26 | 12 | 46.2% |
| NZ left (att.) | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| NZ right (att.) | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Centre | 119 | 63 | 52.9% |
| NZ left (def.) | 20 | 12 | 60.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| DZ left | 68 | 31 | 45.6% |
| DZ right | 108 | 46 | 42.6% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R41.6%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L42.2%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R42.7%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R43.2%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L43.2%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L43.5%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L62.9%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L62.6%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L61.6%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L59.9%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R59.6%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L59.6%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 36.8% 19 | 43.8% 16 | — 0 | 0.0% 3 | 60.0% 5 | 42.9% 7 | 14.3% 7 | 27.3% 11 | 60.0% 5 |
| 2025-26 | 48.1% 414 | 49.6% 347 | 58.3% 12 | 36.4% 55 | 47.4% 76 | 53.1% 162 | 43.8% 176 | 48.3% 145 | 44.0% 150 |
| 2024-25 | 50.2% 1015 | 53.3% 745 | 45.5% 11 | 41.7% 259 | 53.1% 213 | 55.4% 280 | 46.4% 522 | 57.7% 362 | 42.9% 473 |
| 2023-24 | 53.1% 781 | 54.2% 590 | 71.4% 14 | 48.0% 177 | 51.3% 150 | 55.3% 262 | 52.3% 369 | 64.4% 295 | 42.7% 307 |
| Playoffs (all) | 54.2% 72 | 57.1% 63 | 50.0% 2 | 28.6% 7 | 52.9% 17 | 59.1% 22 | 51.5% 33 | 54.3% 46 | 47.6% 21 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 15–20 | 42.9% | 46.1% | 45.9% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Mark Scheifele | 11–18 | 37.9% | 54.3% | 53.4% | a bit unusual (z -1.8) |
| Dylan Strome | 12–16 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 45.3% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Anze Kopitar | 11–17 | 39.3% | 42.4% | 42.2% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Alexander Wennberg | 16–11 | 59.3% | 51.2% | 51.6% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Nazem Kadri | 13–12 | 52.0% | 52.0% | 52.0% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Macklin Celebrini | 10–13 | 43.5% | 51.6% | 51.2% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Shane Wright | 16–5 | 76.2% | 59.4% | 60.0% | a bit unusual (z 1.6) |
| Leo Carlsson | 10–11 | 47.6% | 57.4% | 57.0% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 8–13 | 38.1% | 44.7% | 44.4% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Mason McTavish | 11–7 | 61.1% | 47.1% | 47.6% | a bit unusual (z 1.2) |
| Ryan Poehling | 7–10 | 41.2% | 49.5% | 49.2% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs OTT | 3 | 6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | vs NYI | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-29 | vs MTL | 1 | 8 | 12.5% |
| 2026-04-16 | @ EDM | 1 | 8 | 12.5% |
| 2026-04-14 | vs LAK | 4 | 8 | 50.0% |
| 2026-04-12 | @ ANA | 5 | 12 | 41.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | @ SJS | 8 | 14 | 57.1% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ LAK | 3 | 6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs VGK | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs UTA | 7 | 10 | 70.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-06 vs NSH likely opponents: Ryan O'Reilly (50%), Jack Drury (46%)3.2 FOW 1–6
- 2026-10-08 vs VGK likely opponents: Jack Eichel (53%), William Karlsson (50%)3.1 FOW 1–6
- 2026-10-10 vs COL likely opponents: Brock Nelson (53%), Nathan MacKinnon (50%)3.3 FOW 1–6
FAQ
What is Teddy Blueger's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Teddy Blueger's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Teddy Blueger win tonight?
When Teddy Blueger has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Teddy Blueger better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.