Draw Duel
Nazem Kadri faceoff stats, 2025-26
COL · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
45.7%
90%: 44.0%–47.4% vs an average regular, on 3,717 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
46.9%
464 won of 989 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
54.2% / 37.2%
515 strong-side, 296 weak-side draws this season
Next game
2.0 FOW
2026-10-07 vs WPG: 4 draws at 49.5%, range 0–4
Where Kadri wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 330 | 175 | 53.0% |
| OZ right | 114 | 42 | 36.8% |
| NZ left (att.) | 34 | 25 | 73.5% |
| NZ right (att.) | 41 | 14 | 34.1% |
| Centre | 178 | 75 | 42.1% |
| NZ left (def.) | 31 | 20 | 64.5% |
| NZ right (def.) | 20 | 9 | 45.0% |
| DZ left | 120 | 59 | 49.2% |
| DZ right | 121 | 45 | 37.2% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R37.1%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L37.9%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R38.1%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R38.6%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L38.8%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L39.1%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L58.5%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L58.2%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L57.1%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L55.4%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L55.1%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R55.0%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 62.5% 8 | 50.0% 6 | 100.0% 2 | — 0 | 50.0% 2 | 80.0% 5 | 0.0% 1 | 66.7% 3 | 0.0% 2 |
| 2025-26 | 46.9% 989 | 46.9% 889 | 48.3% 87 | 38.5% 13 | 48.9% 444 | 47.0% 304 | 43.2% 241 | 54.2% 515 | 37.2% 296 |
| 2024-25 | 46.2% 1464 | 45.7% 1295 | 52.7% 146 | 34.8% 23 | 47.5% 652 | 46.2% 431 | 44.1% 381 | 51.1% 714 | 39.0% 480 |
| 2023-24 | 48.9% 1210 | 47.7% 975 | 54.0% 226 | 55.6% 9 | 53.0% 577 | 46.1% 382 | 43.8% 251 | 53.3% 649 | 43.3% 344 |
| Playoffs (all) | 43.5% 46 | 43.5% 46 | — 0 | — 0 | 39.1% 23 | 58.3% 12 | 36.4% 11 | 51.5% 33 | 0.0% 8 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Wennberg | 25–28 | 47.2% | 52.9% | 52.3% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Adam Lowry | 18–22 | 45.0% | 44.8% | 44.8% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| William Karlsson | 19–19 | 50.0% | 43.1% | 43.6% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Michael McCarron | 16–20 | 44.4% | 43.3% | 43.4% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 18–17 | 51.4% | 47.1% | 47.4% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Chandler Stephenson | 15–20 | 42.9% | 46.2% | 46.0% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Elias Lindholm | 17–17 | 50.0% | 40.8% | 41.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.1) |
| Jason Dickinson | 10–23 | 30.3% | 46.6% | 45.6% | a bit unusual (z -1.9) |
| Ryan Strome | 18–14 | 56.3% | 51.9% | 52.2% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Tomas Hertl | 12–17 | 41.4% | 43.9% | 43.8% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Leon Draisaitl | 12–17 | 41.4% | 44.5% | 44.3% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Robert Thomas | 14–14 | 50.0% | 44.1% | 44.5% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs STL | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | vs LAK | 2 | 3 | 66.7% |
| 2026-05-26 | @ VGK | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-05-24 | @ VGK | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-22 | vs VGK | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-05-20 | vs VGK | 2 | 8 | 25.0% |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIN | 3 | 7 | 42.9% |
| 2026-05-11 | @ MIN | 5 | 11 | 45.5% |
| 2026-05-09 | @ MIN | 4 | 5 | 80.0% |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIN | 2 | 4 | 50.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-07 vs WPG likely opponents: Adam Lowry (46%), Jonathan Toews (42%)2.0 FOW 0–4
- 2026-10-08 vs CGY likely opponents: Mikael Backlund (49%), Morgan Frost (47%)2.1 FOW 0–4
- 2026-10-10 vs TOR likely opponents: John Tavares (42%), Auston Matthews (42%)1.9 FOW 0–4
FAQ
What is Nazem Kadri's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Nazem Kadri's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Nazem Kadri win tonight?
When Nazem Kadri has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Nazem Kadri better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.