Draw Duel
Jack Eichel faceoff stats, 2025-26
VGK · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
47.5%
90%: 45.9%–49.0% vs an average regular, on 4,070 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
47.7%
558 won of 1171 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
46.9% / 50.4%
627 strong-side, 339 weak-side draws this season
Next game
9.3 FOW
2026-10-04 vs VAN: 20 draws at 47.5%, range 4–14
Where Eichel wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 154 | 76 | 49.4% |
| OZ right | 324 | 158 | 48.8% |
| NZ left (att.) | 25 | 12 | 48.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 30 | 17 | 56.7% |
| Centre | 205 | 93 | 45.4% |
| NZ left (def.) | 38 | 19 | 50.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 25 | 11 | 44.0% |
| DZ left | 122 | 64 | 52.5% |
| DZ right | 248 | 108 | 43.5% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R39.0%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L39.3%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R39.9%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L40.3%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R40.4%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L40.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L60.4%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L60.1%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L59.0%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L57.3%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L57.0%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R56.8%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 52.9% 34 | 48.3% 29 | 75.0% 4 | 100.0% 1 | 40.0% 10 | 45.5% 11 | 69.2% 13 | 66.7% 18 | 37.5% 8 |
| 2025-26 | 47.7% 1171 | 48.1% 995 | 51.4% 74 | 40.2% 102 | 49.0% 478 | 47.1% 323 | 46.5% 370 | 46.9% 627 | 50.4% 339 |
| 2024-25 | 45.6% 1254 | 45.9% 1044 | 55.9% 59 | 39.7% 151 | 50.0% 442 | 42.9% 380 | 43.5% 432 | 45.2% 717 | 49.3% 302 |
| 2023-24 | 45.5% 908 | 46.4% 730 | 40.3% 62 | 42.2% 116 | 46.9% 320 | 44.7% 273 | 44.8% 315 | 44.7% 535 | 46.8% 203 |
| Playoffs (all) | 47.1% 703 | 47.2% 572 | 43.4% 53 | 48.7% 78 | 44.9% 283 | 47.7% 197 | 49.3% 223 | 48.8% 432 | 41.8% 146 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 36–51 | 41.4% | 47.7% | 46.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Jordan Staal | 28–51 | 35.4% | 39.9% | 39.3% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Leon Draisaitl | 26–42 | 38.2% | 42.8% | 42.3% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Sebastian Aho | 32–33 | 49.2% | 45.1% | 45.6% | normal luck (z 0.7) |
| Connor McDavid | 28–29 | 49.1% | 48.3% | 48.4% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Logan Cooley | 27–28 | 49.1% | 55.5% | 54.9% | normal luck (z -1.0) |
| Chandler Stephenson | 23–32 | 41.8% | 46.0% | 45.6% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 27–26 | 50.9% | 43.5% | 44.2% | a bit unusual (z 1.1) |
| Anze Kopitar | 23–27 | 46.0% | 40.5% | 41.0% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Mikael Granlund | 23–27 | 46.0% | 48.9% | 48.6% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Robert Thomas | 23–26 | 46.9% | 44.6% | 44.8% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 22–24 | 47.8% | 47.2% | 47.3% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | vs ANA | 12 | 21 | 57.1% |
| 2026-09-29 | vs CHI | 6 | 13 | 46.2% |
| 2026-06-14 | vs CAR | 8 | 18 | 44.4% |
| 2026-06-11 | @ CAR | 5 | 17 | 29.4% |
| 2026-06-09 | vs CAR | 5 | 11 | 45.5% |
| 2026-06-06 | vs CAR | 13 | 38 | 34.2% |
| 2026-06-04 | @ CAR | 8 | 19 | 42.1% |
| 2026-06-02 | @ CAR | 6 | 12 | 50.0% |
| 2026-05-26 | vs COL | 11 | 16 | 68.8% |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 8 | 15 | 53.3% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-04 vs VAN likely opponents: Elias Pettersson (50%), Aatu Räty (38%)9.3 FOW 4–14
- 2026-10-06 vs SEA likely opponents: Chandler Stephenson (45%), Matty Beniers (50%)9.9 FOW 5–15
- 2026-10-08 vs TOR likely opponents: John Tavares (42%), Auston Matthews (41%)8.7 FOW 4–13
- 2026-10-10 vs LAK likely opponents: Quinton Byfield (52%), Erik Haula (48%)9.8 FOW 5–15
FAQ
What is Jack Eichel's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Jack Eichel's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Jack Eichel win tonight?
When Jack Eichel has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Jack Eichel better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.